Storms moving in, heavy rain likely

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Warmer Wednesday with storm chances creeping back in
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Looking at a dry and sunny start to the new month
We start out sunny but clouds increase as the system to the west approaches. Scattered showers and storms arrive around 4-5pm with maybe a shower possible before then. Storms could be strong to severe with heavy rain, strong winds and small hail. We will be watching for any potential of a weak spin up as well. Heavy rain will be our biggest threat with localized flooding possible. Rainfall totals will range from 1 to 2” with locally higher amount likely.
More rain is expected on Tuesday as more scattered showers and storms work their way through. Cooler air moves in behind it, dropping highs into the low to mid 70s on Wednesday and could develop lake effect rain. Skies brighten for a beautiful Thursday and Friday.
Today: Increasing clouds, PM showers/storms. High of 82.
Tonight: Scattered showers and storms, heavy rain possible, low of 70.
Tuesday: Scattered showers and a few storms. High of 76.
Wednesday: Partly to mostly sunny, lake effect rain possible. Highs in the low to mid 70s.