The track matters: A look at Monday's snow potential

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1:00
Renaissance Fair wraps up at Plym Park in Niles
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1:24
Dry and mild on Monday, Showers return Tuesday
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1:18
ABC’s Maggie Rulli in the Vatican for Pope Leo’s First Mass
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1:56
Another pleasant, mild day in Michiana
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0:50
Indiana Donut and Beer Fest drops by Four Winds Field
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1:18
First town hall meeting regarding high property assessments in...
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1:08
Celebrations underway for commencements across Michiana
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4:12
Indiana Fever battle the Chicago Sky in WNBA opening weekend
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1:09
Rain chances return by midweek
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2:16
Significantly cooler today
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2:56
SBPD honors fallen officers in memorial service
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2:21
Concord students launch weather balloon in Elkhart County
Little change in the weather through Friday. Saturday the region will be brushed by a stronger system to the east, bringing a chance of drizzle or flurries, damp and dreary either way. Sunday is cooler, a lull before a storm moves into the Ohio Valley Monday. Confidence is growing there will be some snow. The track of the low will dictate how big of a snow factor the area receives.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Low of 32.
Friday: Mostly cloudy. High of 40.
Saturday: Cloudy. Chance of light rain and/or snow. High of 38.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy. High of 30.

Models are showing more agreement of an Ohio Valley storm track, this would likely bring snow to Michiana.

The European model has been most consistent with its performance to date. We are currently favoring 'EURO' but not ignoring the U.S. GFS model.