Pattern changing to favor severe weather
For the first time this year, warmer temperatures will move in and last for more than one or two days. There could be 3-5 days in a row in which temperatures exceed 70° beginning Monday. Not only that, but moisture will surge in from the Gulf of Mexico in the form of dew points in the middle 50s to lower 60s. What does that mean for us? It'll actually feel a little humid for the first time in several months.Combine the warmth and higher dew point temperatures with a cold front by the end of the week and you have a recipe for thunderstorms across a large area. While the highest coverage of thunderstorms and possibly severe weather will remain just to our west and southwest, the pattern looks favorable for some scattered thunderstorms locally. As it looks now, this is probably our best chance at thunderstorm activity thus far this year -- by far. A variable that meteorologists often look at to forecast whether or not thunderstorms and severe weather are expected is called Convective Available Potential Energy.