SOUTH BEND, Ind. -- Heavy rain and gusty winds are pummeling the west coast, but those conditions are a far cry from what we’re seeing in the Midwest and east coast. Rainy weather patterns out West are tied to the North American Monsoon season. Though the season is winding down, its effects are still being felt.
Increased moisture carried by the jet stream has brought heavy rain, gusty winds, and even mountain snow to the region. According to NWS data, parts of California received over an inch of rain, leading to intense flash flooding. Strong winds have damaged trees and structures, while snow in higher elevations has caused hazardous and delayed travel. Salt Lake City, this has been the rainiest October in 44 years, receiving 4 inches this month and is still expected to receive more.
Meanwhile, the Midwest and East Coast have remained dry with unseasonably warm temperatures, marked by stretches of sunny days and clear skies. A strong ridge, or high pressure, has been in place for several days, providing fair conditions. That is about to change.
Storms from the West are expected to shift eastward this weekend. Areas across the Plains and Indiana—including Michiana—are under marginal to slight risk for severe weather on Saturday.
For Notre Dame fans, rain will likely arrive just in time for tailgating. Showers are expected to begin in the afternoon and will last throughout the game, with a slight chance of storms. Be ready with rain gear—tents, ponchos, and umbrellas will be essential.
Long-range models are still split: the European model predicts heavier rainfall, while the GFS suggests more light to moderate totals. Short-range forecasts will provide better clarity in the coming days.
Despite the soggy outlook, the rain is welcome news for drought relief. But with dry ground, flash flooding remains a concern.