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Fed leaves interest rates alone; dials down 2016 forecast

By Patrick Gillespie

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- The Federal Reserve is still waiting for the right moment to raise interest rates.

Fed leaders decided not to increase the bank's key interest rate on Wednesday at the conclusion of a two-day meeting. The decision was largely expected by economists and investors who bet there was very little chance of a move.

The Fed said in a statement that the case for an increase in rates had "strengthened" but wanted to "wait for further evidence of continued progress toward its objectives."

The Fed downgraded its forecast for economic growth in 2016 for the third time this year. It now projects growth this year to be 1.8%. In June it forecast growth of 2%.

As the Fed has hesitated to raise rates, there is a growing debate about its credibility. Many economists and investors say the Fed's hesitancy to raise rates -- and conflicting messages from its top leaders -- has eroded public confidence in the central bank.

Some experts supported the Fed's decision, arguing that there are more risks to raising rates too soon rather than too late.

"The better decision would be to wait," says William Poole, senior fellow at the Cato Institute and former St. Louis Fed President. "We can make up ground if we have to in the future but if we raised rates prematurely and then we had to back down, that's going to more disruptive."

However, there was dissent within the Federal Reserve too. At least three of the top officials -- Esther George, Loretta Mester and Eric Rosengren -- wanted to raise rates. That's the most dissents among the Fed's officials this year.

The Fed said that even though "job gains have been solid" in recent months business "investment has remained soft."

For the rest of the year, 10 out of 17 Fed members project only one rate hike this year.

The Fed last raised interest rates in December 2015, its first increase in nearly a decade. Currently, interest rates are in a range of 0.25% to 0.5%.

--To contact the author of this article please email patrick.gillespie@turner.com

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