Severe weather threat increasing for Thursday
As the evening progresses, the line of storms will push southeastward into Illinois, southern Michigan and eventually northern Indiana. A few scattered storms may form ahead of the main line, but that remains to be seen.The main severe weather "threat zone" stretches from northern Missouri and southeastern Iowa into northern Illinois and southern Wisconsin. That's where a level 2-of-5 "slight risk" has been highlighted by the Storm Prediction Center.
Those areas have the highest threat of severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds, large hail, heavy rain, lightning, and perhaps a tornado or two.That's because the storms will be in those locations while the sun is still up. In other words, the best ingredients will be in place in those regions. In Michiana, the storms will likely not arrive until after 8-9 p.m. EDT. That means we will be losing daylight, warmth and energy as the storms roll in.
As a result, northern Indiana and much of Michigan are only under a level 1-of-5 "marginal risk" of severe weather. Regardless of the threat level being lower, the risk for a few strong to severe thunderstorms is certainly there Thursday evening.Things could change a bit, but confidence in at least some storms moving through parts of Michiana after 8 p.m. is pretty good. Not everyone will see storms, but there will be some.
Areas with the best chance of storms -- including severe storms -- are west of U.S. 31 and north of U.S. 30. That would include the following locations:
- Indiana: Michigan City, La Porte, New Carlisle, South Bend, Mishawaka, Elkhart, Goshen, Knox
- Michigan: Benton Harbor, St. Joseph, New Buffalo, Niles, Dowagiac, Cassopolis, Edwardsburg, Marcellus, Three Rivers, Sturgis