With a snowless fall likely, will winter be quiet too?

 

Some of us saw a few snow flurries Tuesday morning, as high temperatures barely made it into the 40s by the afternoon.

Experiencing a "typical" fall day like this one has been pretty atypical this November. 

Speaking of typical, Tuesday is the day we (on average) see our first inch of snowfall in South Bend.

However, South Bend still has yet to record measurable snow this season. 2020 is likely to become the 9th autumn since 1940 to finish without measurable snowfall. 

Confidence is high that above-normal temperatures through the end of the month will keep our measurable snow chances at bay until December. 

However, just because we have a quiet snow autumn, does not in the slightest mean we are in the clear for winter.

Historically, out of the eight fall seasons with just a trace of snow in South Bend, seven have either had near-normal or above-normal snow during the following winter months. For reference, 1981-2010 normal snowfall during South Bend winter (December, January and February) is just about 50 inches.

So, don't let the mild weather lull you to sleep. Winter will still show up as promised in just a few weeks!