More Storms, Less Support: How NOAA budget cuts may impact predicted above average hurricane season

SOUTH BEND, Ind.--The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season is officially underway—and although it’s quiet for you, it's expected to be an active one. NOAA is forecasting 13 to 19 named storms, with 6 to 10 hurricanes, and 3 to 5 likely becoming major hurricanes.

Key factors driving this increase? Warm ocean waters and a shift away from El Niño conditions, both of which favor more hurricane development.

However, as storm activity ramps up, resources are stretched thin. Budget cuts and staffing losses across NOAA and the National Weather Service are raising concerns about forecasting accuracy and emergency response—especially with the Trump administration looking to phase out FEMA after the 2025 season.

Michiana may not face direct hurricane hits, but residents traveling south—or relying on weather alerts tied to the distant storm systems—could feel the ripple effects.

Despite setbacks, new technology like NOAA’s HAFS model and improved forecasting tools are helping bridge the gap. Experts stress the importance of staying alert, planning ahead, and trusting official forecasts, like NOAA’s National Weather Service.