Tip Line: 574-344-5557 | news57@abc57.com

Probability of a South Bend White Thanksgiving

It's hard to ignore the threat of snow as we get later and later into November -- especially here in Michiana with Lake Michigan sitting just to our west. And while South Bend has only recorded a trace of snow thus far this season, parts of the Upper Midwest and the West have seen a lot of snowfall. In fact, just over 13% of the Lower 48 is snow-covered compared to only 0.3% at this time a year ago.

Believe it or not, the square area currently experiencing snow cover is the same size as the state of Indiana taken 11.2 times! Just a year ago only a quarter of Indiana would have been covered in snow. What a difference a year makes, right?

With that impressive increase in snow pack, one has to wonder about the possibility of a White Thanksgiving. Parts of Michiana have a higher chance than you may think; anywhere from as little as 15-20% to as high as roughly 25% or so.

In fact, South Bend has recorded snow on Thanksgiving many times -- 32 to be exact. Values range from a trace of snow to as much as 7.5" of snow. Of course, most of our Thanksgivings have been snow-less (about 74% of them to be exact). 

And you don't have to go too far back to reach our last year with a White Thanksgiving. We recorded 2" of snow in 2014. So yes, White Thanksgivings do happen. But they certainly are by no means the norm across northern Indiana and southwestern Michigan. 

Share this article: